Solution to: Boys and Girls
There are four possibilities for two children, with equal probabilities:
First child | Second child | |
---|---|---|
1 | girl | girl |
2 | girl | boy |
3 | boy | girl |
4 | boy | boy |
The fourth possibility drops out, because Ronald and Michelle have a daughter (so either the first or the second child is a girl). Therefore, three possibilities remain, of which in one case the other child is also a girl. As a result, the probability is ⅓ (about 33%).
